M4 competition

Following a twitter thread, I’ve found this article and this github repo.

Searching for similar thread in this forum I’ve only found Kaggle competion, but Spyros Makridakis (the autor) says

…where there is actually a ‘‘horse race’’that aims to identify the most accurate forecasting method(s) without any consideration of the reasons involved with the aim of improving the forecasting performance in the future. To recapitulate, the objective of the M Competitions is to learn how to improve the forecasting accuracy, not to host a ‘‘horse race’’…

I was wondering why HTM is not in the methods: is there some kind of precise will or is it just a non interesting competition?

If so, why?


This is the first time I’ve heard of it. I’m interested, but I don’t have the time to put together a submission.

Maybe someone else could test HTM with some data from competition…